If Bitcoin clears its overhead resistance level, ETH, BCH, AXS and EOS could resume their uptrend with surprising strength.
The bulls are attempting to achieve a strong weekly close for Bitcoin (BTC), while the bears are attempting to regain their advantage. Analysts are closely watching the 200-week moving average, which is at $22,705, and BTC’s current setup suggests that a decisive move is imminent.
Many analysts expect a weekly close above the 200-week moving average (MA) to attract further buying, but a break below it could signal that bears are back in the game. Although the short-term picture looks uncertain, analyst Caleb Franzen said that Bitcoin has been in an accumulation zone since May.
Meanwhile, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant highlighted increasing outflows of Ether (ETH) from major exchanges, totaling $1.87 million coins on July 22. Usually, outflows from crypto exchanges suggest that traders are bullish for the long-term, hence they may be moving their coins to stronger crypto wallets for safety.
Could Bitcoin resume its recovery, attracting buying in select altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that look strong on the charts.
BTC/USDT
The bears tried to sink Bitcoin back into the symmetrical triangle on July 23, but the bulls had other plans. The rebound off the breakout level from the triangle indicates that buyers are defending the level aggressively.
The gradually rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $21,865 and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate an advantage to buyers.
If bulls sustain the price above the 50-day simple moving average of $22,384, the BTC/Tether (USDT) pair could rally to the overhead resistance zone between $23,363 and $24,276. A break and close above this level could open the gates for a rally to the pattern target at $28,171 and then to $30,000.
Conversely, if the price slips below the 20-day EMA, the pair could decline to the next support at $20,500.
The pair has formed a falling wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart. If buyers drive the price above the wedge, the pair could retest $24,276. A break and close above this level could signal the resumption of the uptrend.
The 20-EMA is flat and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If the price turns down and breaks below the 50-SMA, the pair could drop to the support line of the wedge.
ETH/USDT
Ether is facing stiff resistance at $1,700 but a positive sign is that buyers have not given up much ground. A tight consolidation near the overhead resistance increases the likelihood of a break above it.
The upsloping 20-day EMA of $1,384 and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have the upper hand. If buyers drive the price above $1,700, the bullish momentum could pick up, and the ETH/USDT pair could rise to $2,000, followed by a rally to $2,200.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from $1,700, the bears will try to pull the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair could drop to $1,280. A bounce off this level could keep the pair stuck between $1,280 and $1,700 for a few days.
The pair bounced off the 50-SMA, indicating that bulls are buying on dips. The buyers will attempt to push the price to the overhead resistance at $1,700. Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance is to the upside.
If bulls push the price above the $1,650 to $1,700 resistance zone, the momentum could pick up and the pair could resume its uptrend. To invalidate this positive view, the bears will have to sink the pair below $1,450.
BCH/USDT
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is attempting to form a bottom after an extended downtrend. The price turned down from the $135 overhead resistance on July 20, but a positive sign is that the bulls defended the 20-day EMA of $117 aggressively.
The price action of the past few days has formed a rounding bottom pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $135. If that happens, it will suggest that the BCH/USDT pair may have bottomed out at $95. The pair could then rise to the pattern target at $175 and later to $200.
Another possibility is that the pair may consolidate between the 20-day EMA and $135 for some time. A break below the 20-day EMA could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
The bulls have pushed the price above the resistance line on the 4-hour chart, opening the doors for a possible retest of $135. The upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers drive the price above $135, the pair could pick up momentum and rally toward $157.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price slips below the 20-EMA, the pair could drop to the 50-SMA and later to $117. A break below this level could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
( Rakesh Upadhyay, Cointelegraph, 2022 )