Traders say Bitcoin is delinquent for a breakout, however also are keeping a lid on however optimistic they must be a few macro trend reversal. 


Bitcoin (BTC) climbed to new October highs at the October. 3 Wall Street open as Credit Schweiz concerns heightened. 

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Traders close in on rangebound BTC

Data from Cointelegraph Markets professional and TradingView showed BTC/USD taking aim at $19,500 when beginning the month flat. 

The largest cryptocurrency reacted completely to below expected united states producing data, whereas in Europe, market turmoil over Credit Suisse gathered pace despite executives’ reassurances. 

“We are taking off October commerce within the same engorged space we complete Sep,” on-chain analytics resource Material Indicators wrote in one of many updates on the day. 

“The 21 DMA is behaving like a ceiling on BTC price, but expect it to be retested soon. Need it to do so for any shot at reclaiming the 20s.”

Material Indicators was referring to Bitcoin’s 21-day moving average (MA) at around $19,400, this currently potentially coming sure a resistance/ support flip. 

BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp) with 21MA. Source: TradingView

A further post revealed a proprietary commerce indicator flashing “long” on daily timeframes, increasing hopes that bulls would be able to tackle the $20,000 mark. 

Analyzing the behavior of derivatives traders, however, William Clemente, co-founder of digital plus research and commerce firm Reflexivity analysis, warned that long positions were too eager to confirm a trend change. 

“Important to observe the BTC derivatives market. For the nonce, longs are piling in on each move up in worth,” he explained. 

“This is not what we want to see for a full on trend reversal (similar to the end of July 2021). We want to see participants conditioned to ‘fade’ rallies.”

Order book data from Binance, the biggest exchange by volume, meantime showed BTC/USD acting in an exceedingly tight vary bordered by sellers at $19,500 and bid interest around $19,150. 

Below that, support lay at $18,800 at the time of writing. 

BTC/USD order book data chart (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

U.S. stocks make up losses as dollar cools

Turning to the macro scenario, U.S. getting Managers Index (PMI) knowledge coming back in below expectations pressured bond yields. 

At an equivalent time, oil and silver, in particular, gained, whereas on equity markets, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite Index were 1.8% and 1.3%, severally. 

“Coming week more PMI data, state and job openings will be coming in. The flip in markets? seems like it,” michael van de Poppe, CEO and co-founder of commercialism firm Eight, responded as a part of market statement. 

Van de People in addition represented Bitcoin’s current commercialism vary as “ultra boring” whereas hoping that crypto would copy silver’s performance. 

The U.S. dollar index (DXY), a classic current of air for crypto, fell below 112 points on the day.

( William Suberg, Cointelegraph, 2022 )